A la une Afrique Diplomatie

Cemac : Paul Biya face au leadership sous-régional

Après la proclamation des résultats de la présidentielle lundi dernier par Clément Atangana, le président du Conseil constitutionnel, j’ai légèrement « jubilé », avant de me rappeler que Paul Biya décroche un septennat décisif.

Les défis et les dossiers qui attendent le nouveau président en exercice de la conférence des chefs d’Etat de la Communauté économique et monétaire de l’Afrique centrale sont légion. La grille de lecture et les propositions de Zacharie Roger Mbarga, internationaliste camerounais.

Le 14e sommet des chefs d’Etat de la Cemac s’est déroulé dimanche dernier à Ndjamena, au Tchad. Le communiqué final des travaux des dirigeants de ce bloc régional stipule que Paul Biya, le chef de l’Etat du Cameroun remplace Idriss Deby Itno à la présidence de l’institution  communautaire. Le président tchadien laisse une Cemac instable entre les mains de Yaoundé. Durant son mandat, qui aura une durée de deux ans, Paul Biya devra relever des nombreux défis et gérer plusieurs dossiers.

Pour ce qui est des dossiers, le Cameroun devra faire face à l’accélération des réformes économiques et financières de la Cemac. Selon Zacharie Roger Mbarga, spécialiste des questions de la libre circulation continentale, « le Cameroun a devant lui un dossier très important qui est celui de renforcer la discipline économique et financière à travers un élément simple qui est la mise ou alors le respect des critères de convergence par les Etats membres de la Cemac ».

Le communiqué final du sommet de Ndjamena demande aux différents Etats, de transmettre à la Cemac des programmes triennaux de mise en œuvre des programmes de convergence. Donc, le Cameroun devra, pendant sa mandature de présidence tournante, veiller au respect scrupuleux de l’ensemble de ces préconisations. Le Cameroun devra également convaincre la Guinée Equatoriale et le Congo, de conclure de manière définitive, un programme économique avec le Fonds monétaire international (FMI).

Le chroniqueur du journal Intégration explique que la mise sous programme de ces deux pays, permettra d’éviter que certains États profitent des efforts des autres. « Et notamment au niveau de la Beac, parce que la reconstruction des réserves de change avec l’amendement à venir des statuts de la banque centrale voudrait que désormais on va attribuer aux Etats, des devises en fonction de la production (exportations) ».

Donc le Cameroun devra veiller à « éviter la géométrique variable paresseuse », renchérit-il.

Les deux autres dossiers sont liés au financement de la Cemac. Il faudra que le Cameroun incite les Etats membres à améliorer la collecte de la Taxe communautaire intégration (TCI). « Une fois qu’on a amélioré la collecte, on sécurise cet argent par un mécanisme précis et que les Etats reversent de manière optimale le stock collecté ». Cela permettra à la Cemac d’améliorer son mangement de l’intégration et financer ses projets intégrateurs, de goudronner des routes par exemple, etc.

Le dernier dossier, c’est la rationalisation. La date butoir est 2023. « Et si  on veut arriver effectivement en 2023, avec une communauté nouvelle en Afrique centrale, qui procédera de la fusion de la Cemac et de la Ceeac, Il faudrait intensifier le processus de rationalisation et en cela, les Etats  doivent contribuer au financement du comité de pilotage de la rationalisation ».

Le Cameroun porte le bébé seul depuis de nombreuses années. Les 10 autres États devraient entrer de manière optimale dans le processus, en permettant que l’ensemble des reformes et des mesures de rationalisation soient adoptées. Que ce soit l’élargissement de la zone de libre-échange, ce qui est déjà pratiquement fait et l’élargissement de l’union douanière. « Mais pour cela, les Etats doivent donner leur accord dans tout ce qui va toucher à leurs économies de manière précise. Ça c’est pour les dossiers », chute Zacharie Roger Mbarga.

Défis

Pour ce qui est des défis, le Cameroun doit confirmer son leadership sous-régional tant vanté. Il doit mettre en œuvre un leadership exemplaire et original pour que sa présidence soit couronnée de succès. Ce qui est attendu depuis plusieurs années, c’est la transformation fondamentale de la Cemac. « Le leadership devra être semblable à celui du Tchad, mais différent. Semblable dans la mesure où, pour accélérer la mise en œuvre des reformes dans la Cemac, il faudra une chose fondamentale : que la relation entre le président en exercice de la Cemac et les institutions spécialisées de la Cemac soit une relation de proximité », propose M. Mbarga, qui suggère au président Biya de réinventer ce leadership, et d’être un bon élève pour les autres Etats.

Donc le Cameroun doit se montrer exemplaire dans la mise en œuvre des reformes. Il doit aussi se doter des moyens politiques et diplomatiques pour convaincre les Etats voisins.

La régionalisation économique fait également partie des chantiers du chef de l’Etat camerounais. Notamment la création des chaînes de valeur, diversifier les économies. « Après avoir diversifié les économies, créer, de la spécialisation pour faire en sorte que les économies soient convergentes. Si ces économies sont diversifiées, si elles sont spécialisées, c’est-à-dire différentes des autres, donc s’il y a complémentarité, il y aura de manière évidente, amélioration de la libre circulation des biens, des personnes et des capitaux », croit-il.

Le Nigeria dans la Cedeao, un cas d’école

Zacharie Roger Mbarga propose également au Cameroun de collecter la TCI de manière à financer le processus d’intégration de la Cemac à hauteur de 50%. « C’est-à-dire faire en sorte que le processus de l’intégration soit majoritairement financé par le Cameroun. C’est ce que le Nigeria fait dans la Cedeao. Le Cameroun peut le faire ». S’il réussit par exemple à  financer la construction et la fluidification de tous les corridors sous-régionaux, Yaoundé pourra demander aux autres Etats de laisser couler ses marchandises, parce qu’il aura financé les interconnections sous-régionales, que ce soit les routes, les ponts, l’électricité, etc. A coté, le Nigeria s’oppose à l’entrée du Maroc et est suivi par les autres Etats de sa région, parce qu’ils savent qu’il finance à hauteur de 50% le budget de cette communauté économique régionale. En procédant de la sorte, le Cameroun pourrait avoir la main mise sur la Cemac.

Didier Ndengue
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